Home UFC 🥊 Anthony Wint vs Terrance Chatman (August 22, 2026): stats, scenarios and AI verdict

🥊 Anthony Wint vs Terrance Chatman (August 22, 2026): stats, scenarios and AI verdict

Match information

Finished

Anthony Wint

VS
🏟️ Golden 1 Arena

Terrance Chatman

🟡 Prediction was nearly correct
Final result: Anthony Wint wins by submission (choke) in round 1. Correctly predicted Anthony Wint to win, but missed the method – predicted KO/TKO while the actual finish was by submission (choke) in the first round.

🧾 Prediction Summary

This is a classic UFC debut showcase at Golden 1 Arena, with undefeated prospect Anthony Wint entering as a massive favourite against the more experienced but less proven Terrance Chatman. Wint brings unblemished momentum and proven finishing power, while Chatman will need to weather early pressure and drag the fight into deeper waters where his grappling and durability could become factors. The bookmakers price Wint around 1.05 and expect a short fight with Total Under 1.5 at 1.30, which underlines the expected pace and power difference. On paper Wint has the edge in size, reach, and momentum, and Chatman will likely look to close distance, clinch and wrestle to neutralize the striking disparity. Prediction: Anthony Wint to win by KO/TKO inside the distance, likely in round 1.

📅 Match Information

🗓️ Date & time: August 22, 2026, 07:10 PM ET (23:10 UTC)

🏟️ Venue: Golden 1 Arena, Sacramento, USA

🏆 Competition: UFC Fight Night: Sacramento

📊 Duration: 3 rounds x 5 minutes

⚖️ Division: Welterweight (170 lbs / 77 kg)

🔴 Team 1: Anthony Wint — 7-0-0, Explosive striker / power puncher

🔵⚪ Team 2: Terrance Chatman — 5-1-0, Well-rounded wrestler-grappler

🥊 In-Depth Fighter Analysis

🔴 Anthony Wint

Anthony Wint arrives for his UFC debut with a perfect 7-0 record and a reputation as a fast starter. He is a pressure striker who likes to take the centre, cut the cage and throw heavy hands in combination, particularly his right hand and left hook. Five of his wins have come inside the distance, which explains why the market makes him such a heavy favourite and expects an early finish.

The key question is how he handles the step up in level and the occasion. His takedown defence and composure under pressure have looked solid on the regional scene, but he has not yet been taken into deep water. If he can keep the fight at range and defend early wrestling entries, his power and hand speed should give him clear advantages on the feet.

  • Record: 7-0-0 (undefeated as a professional)
  • Signature weapon and finishes: Heavy boxing power, 6 finishes in 7 wins (5 KO/TKO, 1 submission), tends to finish early when he finds rhythm
  • Defence: Solid takedown defence for the division, good chin shown on regional level, keeps hands high but can be hit when over-committing
  • Recent form: 5-0 in last 5, all wins by finish, entering on a strong finishing streak ahead of UFC debut
  • Key to victory: Establish jab and distance control, deny takedowns early, and force Chatman to strike at range where power difference is likely to show

🔵 Terrance Chatman

Terrance Chatman, nicknamed The Answer, comes in at 5-1 and is cast as a clear underdog around 7.50 to 8.00. He is a more grinding, well-rounded fighter who prefers to mix wrestling with opportunistic striking rather than rely on one-punch power. His path to competitiveness likely involves closing distance, chaining takedown attempts and making this a physical, clinch-heavy fight.

Chatman has shown resilience and an ability to recover, but he will need to be defensively disciplined in the first five minutes. His striking defence and ability to absorb without getting drawn into exchanges will be tested immediately, and his cardio and grappling could become more relevant if he can survive the early storm and extend the bout past the 1.5 round mark.

  • Record: 5-1-0 (5 wins, 1 loss)
  • Signature weapon and finishes: Wrestling-based control and ground transitions, 3 finishes in 5 wins (2 KO/TKO, 1 submission)
  • Defence: Decent chin but has been tagged on entries, takedown defence is workmanlike, relies on clinch work to stall power strikers
  • Recent form: 4-1 in last 5 (W-W-L-W-W), bounced back with two wins after his lone career defeat
  • Key to victory: Pressure without brawling, secure early clinch or takedown, control tempo and try to take Wint into the second half of the fight

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Metric🔴 Fighter 1🔵 Fighter 2Edge
W-L-D record7-0-05-1-0Anthony Wint
finishes (KO/submission)6 (5 KO/TKO, 1 SUB)3 (2 KO/TKO, 1 SUB)Anthony Wint
height / reach6 ft 0 in (183 cm) / 75 in (191 cm)5 ft 11 in (180 cm) / 72 in (183 cm)Anthony Wint
age2830Anthony Wint
form over last 5 fightsW-W-W-W-WW-W-L-W-WAnthony Wint

📊 Head-to-Head History

This will be the first professional meeting between Wint and Chatman with no prior head-to-head history. Stylistically it is a striker with early knockout upside against a wrestler-grappler who needs to close distance and make it ugly, a common debut matchup designed to test whether the undefeated prospect can handle wrestling pressure while giving the underdog a clear grappling path to an upset if he can extend the fight.

🤖 Extended AI Analysis

GPT-5.5 • Styles match-up

Wint's explosive boxing and early pressure is a difficult stylistic test for Chatman's wrestling-heavy approach; if Chatman cannot secure clinch control quickly he will be forced to strike at range where the power gap is significant.

DeepSeek-R2 • Form and statistics

Wint is undefeated at 7-0 with 6 finishes and a 5-fight finishing streak, while Chatman is 4-1 in his last 5; the market pricing around 1.07 vs 7.80 and Under 1.5 at 1.30 reflects that finishing trend.

Gemini 3 Pro • Size and physicality

Wint holds estimated edges in height and reach (6'0 / 75in vs 5'11 / 72in) which helps him keep the fight at boxing range and defend early entries.

Claude Opus 4.8 • Key exchanges

The decisive exchanges will be Wint defending the first two takedown attempts and returning with counters in the pocket; if he wins those, the fight is likely to end quickly inside the distance.

💰 Average Odds (across bookmakers)

Full Betting Line

Winner

  • Anthony Wint to win: 1.07
  • Terrance Chatman to win: 7.80

Total Rounds

  • Over 2.5 rounds: 3.10
  • Under 2.5 rounds: 1.35

Method of Victory

  • KO/TKO: 1.38
  • Submission: 9.00
  • Judges' decision: 3.60

Finish / Decision

  • Fight ends inside the distance: Yes: 1.28
  • Fight goes to decision: 3.40

🎯 Tactical Breakdown & Scenarios

Favourite finishes early (62%)

Probable score: Wint KO/TKO in Round 1
Wint takes centre, denies the early wrestling and finds the finish with heavy hands once Chatman is forced to exchange at range.

Win on the judges' cards (23%)

Probable score: Wint by unanimous decision
Chatman survives the early storm via clinch and wrestling attempts but loses minutes and damage on the feet over three rounds.

Underdog upset (15%)

Probable score: Chatman by submission or decision
Chatman chains takedowns, controls top time and either grinds a decision or finds a late submission if Wint fatigues.

🏆 Final AI Consortium Verdict

🎯 Final Prediction

Anthony Wint to win by KO/TKO

Heavy favourite with clear power, reach and finishing history against an opponent who must close distance to be competitive; Under 1.5 remains the market expectation and Wint inside the distance is the most probable outcome.

Best bet: Anthony Wint by KO/TKO (1.38)

💎 Optimal Staking Strategy

🥇 Main pick (45% of bankroll)

Anthony Wint by KO/TKO 1.38

Directly matches predicted method and market expectation for an early finish; price reflects high KO rate and size advantage. Probability: 62%

💰 Safe pick (30% of bankroll)

Fight ends inside the distance: Yes 1.28

Covers the early finish scenario for either fighter while still heavily weighted to Wint's finishing threat; consistent with Total Under 1.5 at 1.30. Probability: 72%

🎯 Method pick (20% of bankroll)

Under 1.5 rounds 1.30

Aligns with projected Round 1 KO; offers a method-agnostic way to play the short-fight expectation. Probability: 68%

Long shot (5% of bankroll)

Anthony Wint to win in Round 1 1.85

Higher odds on the most likely round for the predicted KO/TKO; small stake for value given five early finishes in seven wins. Probability: 38%

⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only. Betting involves risk. Play responsibly. 18+.

❓ FAQ: Anthony Wint — Terrance Chatman

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When and where is Anthony Wint vs Terrance Chatman taking place?

The fight is scheduled for August 22, 2026, at 07:10 PM ET (23:10 UTC) at the Golden 1 Arena in Sacramento, USA, as part of UFC Fight Night: Sacramento. It is scheduled for three rounds of five minutes in the Welterweight division.

What is the prediction for Wint vs Chatman?

The prediction is for Anthony Wint to win by KO/TKO, most likely in Round 1. As an undefeated 7-0 prospect with five KO/TKO finishes, he is expected to keep the fight at range, defend the early wrestling and finish with boxing power before the fight goes deep.

What are the odds for this fight?

On market average, Anthony Wint is a heavy favourite at around 1.07, with Terrance Chatman as the underdog at around 7.80. The market expects a short fight: Total Under 1.5 rounds is about 1.30 (Over 1.5 around 3.30), Fight ends inside the distance Yes is around 1.28, and Wint by KO/TKO is around 1.38. Odds are averaged across bookmakers and can change closer to fight time.

What does the head-to-head record say?

There is no previous head-to-head record — this will be the first professional meeting between Wint and Chatman. Stylistically it is a power striker with an early finishing rate against a wrestling-based grappler who will need to close distance and extend the fight to have success.

Which fighters will be key to the result?

Anthony Wint is the key fighter — his jab, distance control, takedown defence and early power will determine if he can get the finish. For Terrance Chatman, his ability to enter safely, secure clinch positions and chain takedowns is crucial to neutralize the striking gap and drag Wint into deeper waters.

Where can I watch the fight?

In the US the card is expected to be broadcast on ESPN/ESPN+ as part of the UFC Fight Night coverage, with prelims and main card streaming live. Start time is listed as 07:10 PM ET on August 22, so check your local listings and the UFC broadcast partner in your region for exact channel and streaming details. Please watch responsibly, 18+.

Match rating

6.5 /10
Entertainment: 🔥 Low
Verdict: 👍 Worth watching